North Korea has, on several recent occasions, launched short-range missiles, including Scuds, the range of which is over 300 miles.
Meanwhile, Kim Jong-un emphasized his policy of pursuing economic development while continuing a nuclear program in his 2013 New Year’s address.
But the sudden purge of Jang Song-thaek, the head of the North Korean economy, has revealed that nuclear weapons have priority over the economy these days in that country.
It seems North Korea has changed its policy and decided to depend solely on nuclear weapons.
The press in the U.S. reported that North Korea was focusing on the development of intercontinental ballistic missiles (ICBMs) that can reach the U.S., even though North Korea appear to be adopting conciliatory policies such as the recent reunions of families separated by the Korean War.
This claim seems to be proven by the recent missile launches of North Korea. It is really foolish of the North to pursue the development of such missiles.
North Korea seems to have the wrong idea that if it successfully launches a long-distance nuclear missile that can reach the U.S. mainland, President Obama will offer to have a summit meeting with Kim Jong-un.
In fact, however, it is highly likely that the U.S. would regard the launch as a declaration of war and, to defend its mainland, attack the North with surgical bombing to destroy nuclear facilities in North Korea.
With bunker busters and drones, it would destroy the nuclear facilities of North Korea so completely to ashes that they cannot be put into operation ever again.
I wonder if the old generals of the North Korean military know that the defense budget of the U.S. is close to the sum of those of the next 10 countries in military spending and that its military power is ranked as the overwhelming number one in the world. Maybe for this reason, every military expert in the world predicts that the North Korean regime, like a frog in a well, would not last long.
In other words, the reunification of the Korean Peninsula might come earlier than people think. President Park Geun-hye said that reunification would be like a jackpot, and many foreign investors feel that reunification is approaching.
In particular, Warren Buffett, the legendary investor, said that he would invest his whole fortune in the Korean Peninsula once reunification begins. Now is the time to build the foundation for the era of the unified Korean Peninsula.
There are several reunification scenarios.
First, we may wait for North Korea to collapse on its own, thinking that the collapse will occur soon. But the question is, how long we should wait for that to happen.
Second, according to a recent poll, 60 percent of young people in South Korea do not welcome the reunification of the two Koreas.
This is because they are too worried about the economic burden and instability that the reunification will bring. Hence, we need a “war bonds” program like the one used by President Roosevelt. This is a proven, highly successful, program.
Third, it is wrong to adopt the “sunshine” policy again. The policy failed. The aid provided to North Korea was used as the driving force of its development of nuclear weapons. The “sunshine” policy would only maintain the status quo by extending the life of the Kim Jong-un regime.
Fourth, we may persuade China to stop its support for North Korea. There are increasing voices in the Institute for International Strategies of the Communist Party of China that China should change the treaty that it signed with North Korea.
It wonders if North Korea is worth the international isolation that China has to endure as a result of protecting the country.
Fifth, the U.N.’s commission on human rights in North Korea recommended in its recent report on the cruel human rights abuses of the North Korean government that Kim Jong-un should be put on trial at the international criminal court.
The problem is that it takes the U.N. Security Council to refer a case to the international criminal court, but the certainty of China’s veto makes this not plausible.
Sixth, there is a preemptive precision strike. A bunker buster can fly 500 km and penetrate 30 meters underground. The problem is that hundreds of conventional North Korean cannons in the DMZ are aiming at South Korea.
Should we use military force sacrificing so many people in Seoul? I believe that simultaneous preemptive attacks can be carried out through joint operations such as Key Resolve between South Korea and the United States.
Jay Kim is a former U.S. congressman. He serves as chairman of the Kim Chang Joon U.S.-Korea Foundation. For more information, visit Kim’s website at http://www.jayckim.com.